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Whilst they is a natural desire to see Somerville Lodge start to hit its usual win to runner ratio’s, although there are plenty of entries across Thursday and Sunday this week, history and statistics suggest we may have to wait…
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Needle Match heads to top of horses to follow…
Needle Match may not even line up for the 2000 Guineas in just under two weeks, especially if the ground remains on the fast side of Good. However, as a son of Night Of Thunder out of an American Pharoah mare currently available at 100/1 after his…
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Season set to move into top gear…
The various interviews with William Haggas in the last 14 days has relayed a combination of high expectation and frustration in equal measures. The results on the course have mirrored his comments with many of the horses running with great…
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King of Earth too big to ignore
The drift on King of Earth out to 7/2 was too big to ignore – 1pt Bet win recommended. 3.45 Newbury.
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Season defining Weekend Ahead..
When Wiltshire landed a 20/1 gamble for us on Good Friday the elation of landing the bets was underpinned by the knowledge that it provided a cushion for the difficult early months of the campaign in April and May. Little…
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Ignore early prices next few days…
On Friday at Thirsk we highlighted the danger of following supposed gambles on Somerville Lodge trained horses, typified by Scoville who was cut from 7/1 to 2/1 but was reported to be in need of the race beforehand and ran…
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First Bet of Week on Wednesday…
The start of the year judged by the bare results and low strike rate suggests all is not going to plan at Somerville Lodge. The topsy turvy performance levels continued over the weekend. There were three very encouraging runs from…
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The future in mind during important trials week.
Followers will know the key word at Somerville Lodge is patience – with horses in training at the yard given ample time to fulfill potential. The year on year success we achieve following the master trainer is based on folllowing…
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Big Gambles that make no sense ?
One of the big advantages of micro following one big yard is the knowledge we have gained to spot big market moves that simply make no sense, given the information available before the race. One obvious example was Scoville at…
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11/4 about an Even Money chance – only 5th Horse backed this season.
When William Haggas declares a horse to contest a Musselburgh handicap its never just there for the run and whatever way you look at the stats in handicaps with horses sent off 1,2,3 in the market his strike rate at…
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